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Aliyev’s Intrigues in “Couloirs”
The
“confessions” of Geydar Aliyev about the so-called agreement reached with
Robert Kocharyan last year in Paris about exchanging territories between Azerbaijan
and Armenia were assessed in Yerevan as “absurd and not serious”. This is
how Serj Sargsyan, the Secretary of National Security at the President’s Office
of Armenia, Minister of Defense and Vahe Gabrielyan, press-secretary of the
President characterized the statement of the Azerbaijani president.
In fact, when
“disclosing” the “principles agreed upon” on the settlement of the Karabagh
problem which were discussed last March at the Shirak-Aliyev-Kocharyan summit
in Paris, Geydar Aliyev announced that one of the aspects of these principles
was the opening of the transport corridors connecting Azerbaijan with Nakhichevan
through the territory of Meghri region of Armenia, as well a s Armenia with
Mountainous Karabagh through the territory of Lachin region of Azerbaijan.
In addition, as it was emphasized by Aliyev, the issue of granting sovereign
rights to the parties involved was discussed. In particular, Azerbaijan should
have a right to the Meghri corridor, and Armenia, in its turn, was supposed
to have right to Lachin corridor. Aliyev noted that the focal issue in talks
in Paris was the assigning analogous statuses to both corridors. Nevertheless,
according to Aliyev, “the Armenian side later broke the agreement which resulted
in the breakdown in the talks in Key West, USA”.
The Azeri leader
placed a special emphasis on the circumstance that “today he was obliged to
disclose the essence of the Paris principles since the Armenian side, including
the top officials, distorted them and made attempts to speculate on this issue”.
“We are ready to continue the negotiations based on the Paris principles provided
the agreements reached in France are accepted again”, he stated. On the other
hand, Aliyev was regretful that “Armenia held back from any official statements
and was unwilling to provide a sovereign corridor through Meghri, while it
claimed that Azerbaijan should open the Lachin corridor”. “This is unacceptable
for us”, the Azeri president stated.
Vahe Gabrielyan, the press-secretary of the Armenian president who participated
in the talks on the settlement of the Karabagh problem in Key West (Florida,
USA) in 2001 was cautiously following the confidentiality as pledged between
the participants of the Kocharyan-Aliyev meeting and the emissaries or at
least maintained by Yerevan. Nevertheless, he firmly stated that “the rumors
about the reached agreements about granting sovereignty to any of the Armenian
territories, as well as the sovereign corridor of Azerbaijan-Nakhichevan are
senseless” (cf.: newspaper “Republic of Armenia”, June 17, 2002). With respect
of the agreements denied by Armenia, the press-secretary emphasized that on
the contrary, it was Azerbaijan that refused from the reached agreements.
In order to make a judgement about the accuracy of Geydar Aliyev’s statement,
one should note that the Azeri president insistently denied the existence
of any “Paris principles” for more than a year and is now misinterpreting
some of them, Gabrielyan mentioned. Why should Aliyev make this statement
now that the principles denied by Azerbaijan and reflected in the draft document
in Key West will sooner or later be disclosed, the press-secretary of the
Armenian president noted.
There is no point
in claiming that the true reasons for this sort of “confessions” of the Azeri
leader lie on the surface, but the Azerbaijani mass media has to some extent
given the answer to this question. According to newspaper “Mirror” (of July
15), one should try to understand the reason at a different, most likely,
home policy level why the Azerbaijani leader “touched upon the highly disputable
aspects of the Paris principles now when there is apparent activation in the
negotiations process with one of its initiators being Geydar Aliyev”. It is
noted in the newspaper that announcements like that may give rise to severe
political crisis both in Azerbaijan and Armenia. “There are not so many alternatives.
Firstly, it is not excluded that the alternative proposed by the emissaries
for the resolution of the Karabagh conflict is no better than the preceding
one. The statement of the Azerbaijani leader was an attempt to see what the
reaction of the public will be to it”. It is also admitted in the newspaper
that the events in Nardaran (Azerbaijan) where a number of public demonstrations
against the authorities were held, are somehow related to the negotiations
process on Mountainous Karabagh. “The conflict between the authorities and
people of Nardaran (Azerbaijan) had been maturing irrespective of these factors.
Nevertheless, by displaying the ‘firmness’ of its position in respect of ensuring
the stability in the country by possible means in this confrontation, including
forceful measures, the authorities could knock out the opposition so that
it would give up the idea of resistance as it proved to be previously. However,
this time it did not work. It is likely that by making this statement the
authorities of Azerbaijan attempt to fail the realization of the alternatives
of the peaceful agreement which are not favorable for Azerbaijan and at the
same time lay the blame on the official Yerevan. It is known that the opposition
in Yerevan calls for impeaching Kocharyan. Obviously, the news about Kocharyan’s
previous refusal from the Meghri corridor will cause more tense atmosphere.
The negotiations process will undoubtedly be moved aside for an indefinite
time-period if the shift of the power in Yerevan takes place, as it happened
after the assassination of the Armenian Parliament” (citation from “The Mirror”
newspaper).
The Armenian opposition
has more than once speculated on the idea that the present authorities allegedly
intend to use Armenian territories as “change money” as solicited by the international
community. The announcement that Washington intends to operate the aforementioned
transport communications, and, accordingly, open the Meghri corridor was made
quite recently by Aram Sargsyan, the leader of the Democratic Party of Armenia
(DPA) who participated in the second round of the meeting of the representatives
of the public (I apologize for the tautology, but it is important. – G.M.)
of Armenia, Azerbaijan and Mountainous Karabagh in Moscow on October 19-21
within the frames of the Dartmouth Conference with the participation of the
representatives of Russia and the USA. The leader of DPA who is in opposition
with the present Armenian authorities explicitly stated that not only the
establishment of sovereignty of Azerbaijan over the so-called Meghri Corridor,
but even any control over the said corridor by international peace-keeping
forces would be a hazard to the national security of Armenia. In the latter
case not only Armenia would lose its common border with Iran, but “might simply
become a military ordinance yard”. Sargsyan noted that the supposed isolation
of Iran which is in the black list of the USA would undoubtedly force Iran
to take counteractions against this policy of Washington.
These are the
versions of Geidar Aliyev and the Armenian opposition. As noted above, official
Yerevan considers that such statements are fictitious and absurd and continuously
demonstrates its adherence to the “Paris principles”. In this respect Serj
Sargsyan, the Armenian Defense Minister and Secretary of the Security Council
at the President’s Office stated that “it would be better if instead of excusing
himself and justifying his actions Geydar Aliyev set to the implementation
of the agreements reached in Paris”.
As a matter of
fact, according to “De Facto” News Agency which published the statement of
Alexander Grigoryan, Head of the Information Department of the President’s
Office of NKR, "the president of NKR Arkadi Ghukasyan has announced more
than once that Mountainous Karabagh will not ever consent to any resolution
of the Karabagh problem which may be harmful for the interests of Armenia”.
Stepanakert assessed the statements of Aliyev as not corresponding to reality
and obviously dictated by its internal political situation.